ENSO and greenhouse warming

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dc.contributor.authorCai, Wenju
dc.contributor.authorSantoso, Agus
dc.contributor.authorWang, Guojian
dc.contributor.authorYeh, Sang-Wook
dc.contributor.authorAn, Soon-II
dc.contributor.authorCobb, Kim M.
dc.contributor.authorCollins, Matt
dc.contributor.authorGuilyardi, Eric
dc.contributor.authorJin, Fei-Fei
dc.contributor.authorKug, Jong-Seong
dc.contributor.authorLengaigne, Matthieu
dc.contributor.authorMcPhaden, Michael J.
dc.contributor.authorTakahashi, Ken
dc.contributor.authorTimmermann, Axel
dc.contributor.authorVecchi, Gabriel
dc.contributor.authorWatanabe, Masahiro
dc.contributor.authorWu, Lixin
dc.date.accessioned2018-09-10T19:33:47Z
dc.date.available2018-09-10T19:33:47Z
dc.date.issued2015-08-17
dc.description.abstractThe El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the dominant climate phenomenon affecting extreme weather conditions worldwide. Its response to greenhouse warming has challenged scientists for decades, despite model agreement on projected changes in mean state. Recent studies have provided new insights into the elusive links between changes in ENSO and in the mean state of the Pacific climate. The projected slow-down in Walker circulation is expected to weaken equatorial Pacific Ocean currents, boosting the occurrences of eastward-propagating warm surface anomalies that characterize observed extreme El Nino events. Accelerated equatorial Pacific warming, particularly in the east, is expected to induce extreme rainfall in the eastern equatorial Pacific and extreme equatorward swings of the Pacific convergence zones, both of which are features of extreme El Nino. The frequency of extreme La Nina is also expected to increase in response to more extreme El Ninos, an accelerated maritime continent warming and surface-intensified ocean warming. ENSO-related catastrophic weather events are thus likely to occur more frequently with unabated greenhouse-gas emissions. But model biases and recent observed strengthening of the Walker circulation highlight the need for further testing as new models, observations and insights become available.es_ES
dc.description.peer-reviewPor pareses_ES
dc.formatapplication/pdfes_ES
dc.identifier.citationCai, W., Santoso, A., Wang, G., Yeh, S.-W., An, S.-I., Cobb, K. M., ... Wu, L. (2015). ENSO and greenhouse warming.==$Nature Climate Change, 5,$==849-859. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2743es_ES
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1038/NCLIMATE2743es_ES
dc.identifier.govdocindex-oti2018
dc.identifier.journalNature Climate Changees_ES
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12816/2898
dc.language.isoenges_ES
dc.publisherNature Researches_ES
dc.relation.ispartofurn:issn:0028-0836
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccesses_ES
dc.subjectAtmospheric dynamicses_ES
dc.subjectClimate changees_ES
dc.subjectGreenhouse effectes_ES
dc.subject.ocdehttp://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#1.05.00es_ES
dc.subject.ocdehttp://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#1.05.09es_ES
dc.subject.ocdehttp://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#1.05.10es_ES
dc.titleENSO and greenhouse warminges_ES
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlees_ES

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