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dc.contributor.author Sulca Jota, Juan Carlos
dc.contributor.author Rocha, Rosmeri P. da
dc.date.accessioned 2021-05-18T17:48:59Z
dc.date.available 2021-05-18T17:48:59Z
dc.date.issued 2021-05-08
dc.identifier.citation Sulca, J. C. & Rocha, R. P. d. (2021). Influence of the Coupling South Atlantic Convergence Zone-El Niño-Southern Oscillation (SACZ-ENSO) on the projected precipitation changes over the central Andes.==$Climate, 9$==(5),77. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli9050077 es_ES
dc.identifier.govdoc index-oti2018
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12816/4943
dc.description.abstract There are no studies related to the influence of the coupling between the South Atlantic Convergence Zone (SACZ) and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) pattern variability on future changes in the austral summer (December-February, DJF) precipitation over the central Andes. Therefore, we evaluated the historical simulations (1980–2005) and projections (2070–2099) for the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 (RCP 8.5) scenario of 25 global climate models (GCMs) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5). Moreover, we also consider the Regional Climate Model version 4 (RegCM4) projections nested in three CMIP5 GCMs (GFDL-ESM2M, MPI-ESM-MR, and HadGEM2-ES) under RCP 8.5. We separate the CMIP5 GCMs according to their abilities to simulate the nonlinear characteristics of ENSO and the SACZ for the historical period. We found that only three out of 25 CMIP5 GCMs (hereafter group A) simulate the nonlinear characteristics of ENSO and the SACZ during the historical period. Although most CMIP5 GCM project DJF precipitation decreases over the central Andes, group A project precipitation increases related to the projected increase in deep convection over the central Peruvian Amazon. On the regional scale, only RegGFDL (nested in a group A CMIP5 GCM) projects a statistically significant increase in DJF precipitation (~5–15%) over the northern central Andes and the central Peruvian Amazon. Conversely, all RegCM4 simulations project a decrease in DJF precipitation (~−10%) over the southern central Andes. es_ES
dc.format application/pdf es_ES
dc.language.iso eng es_ES
dc.publisher MDPI es_ES
dc.relation.ispartof urn:issn:2225-1154
dc.rights info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess es_ES
dc.rights.uri https://creativecommons.org/licences/by/4.0/ es_ES
dc.subject Austral summer precipitation es_ES
dc.subject Central Andes es_ES
dc.subject Climate change es_ES
dc.subject Precipitation es_ES
dc.subject Nonlinear ENSO characteristics es_ES
dc.subject Coupling ENSO-SACZ es_ES
dc.subject CMIP5 es_ES
dc.subject Future change es_ES
dc.subject RegCM4 es_ES
dc.title Influence of the Coupling South Atlantic Convergence Zone-El Niño-Southern Oscillation (SACZ-ENSO) on the projected precipitation changes over the central Andes es_ES
dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/article es_ES
dc.subject.ocde https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#1.05.09 es_ES
dc.subject.ocde https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#1.05.10 es_ES
dc.identifier.journal Climate es_ES
dc.description.peer-review Por pares es_ES
dc.identifier.doi https://doi.org/10.3390/cli9050077 es_ES

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