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dc.contributor.author Vichot‐Llano, Alejandro
dc.contributor.author Martínez Castro, Daniel
dc.contributor.author Bezanilla‐Morlot, Arnoldo
dc.contributor.author Centella‐Artola, Abel
dc.contributor.author Giorgi, Filippo
dc.date.accessioned 2021-04-05T12:00:54Z
dc.date.available 2021-04-05T12:00:54Z
dc.date.issued 2021-02
dc.identifier.citation Vichot‐Llano, A., Martinez‐Castro, D., Bezanilla‐Morlot, A., Centella‐Artola, A., & Giorgi, F. (2021). Projected changes in precipitation and temperature regimes and extremes over the Caribbean and Central America using a multiparameter ensemble of RegCM4.==$International Journal of Climatology, 41$==(2), 1328-1350. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6811 es_ES
dc.identifier.govdoc index-oti2018
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12816/4935
dc.description.abstract Regional climate projections are developed four Central America and the Caribbean, based on a multiparameter ensemble formed by four configurations with different convective cumulus schemes with the regional model RegCM4 at 25 km grid spacing, driven by the HadGEM2‐ES global model under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. The precipitation change projections indicate drier conditions compared to present in the near future (2020–2049) and far future (2070–2099) time slices. These drier conditions are statistically significant at the 90% confidence level over the eastern Caribbean, central Atlantic Ocean, and the western Pacific Ocean and are more pronounced in the far future time slice. For temperature, the warmer conditions are statistically significant at the 95% confidence level over the study region. The drier and warmer signals are greater in extension and magnitude in the RCP8.5 than for RCP4.5. Projected changes in precipitation and temperature extreme indices show a reduction of consecutive wet days and an increment of consecutive dry days, with a reduction of cold days and nights and an increase of warm days and nights. Lower precipitation along with increased intensity of extreme events are projected over the Greatest Antilles region. es_ES
dc.format application/pdf es_ES
dc.language.iso eng es_ES
dc.publisher Royal Meteorological Society es_ES
dc.relation.ispartof urn:issn:1097-0088
dc.rights info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess es_ES
dc.subject Caribbean es_ES
dc.subject Ensembles es_ES
dc.subject Extremes es_ES
dc.subject Indices es_ES
dc.subject Precipitation es_ES
dc.subject Projections es_ES
dc.subject RegCM4 es_ES
dc.subject Regional climate es_ES
dc.title Projected changes in precipitation and temperature regimes and extremes over the Caribbean and Central America using a multiparameter ensemble of RegCM4 es_ES
dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/article es_ES
dc.subject.ocde https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#1.05.09 es_ES
dc.identifier.journal International Journal of Climatology es_ES
dc.description.peer-review Por pares es_ES
dc.identifier.doi https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6811 es_ES

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