Browsing by Author "Drapeau, Guillaume"
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Item Restricted Assessing precipitation concentration in the Amazon basin from different satellite‐based data sets(Royal Meteorological Society, 2019-06-15) Zubieta Barragán, Ricardo; Saavedra Huanca, Miguel; Espinoza, Jhan Carlo; Ronchail, Josyane; Sulca Jota, Juan Carlos; Drapeau, Guillaume; Martin‐Vide, JavierDaily precipitation concentration in the Amazon basin (AB) is characterized using concentration index (CI), which is computed from HYBAM Observed Precipitation (HOP) data set, for 1980–2009 period. The ability of four satellite precipitation data sets (TMPA V7, TMPA RT, CMORPH and PERSIANN) to estimate CI is evaluated for 2001–2009 period. Our findings provide new information about the spatial irregularity of daily rainfall distribution over the AB. In addition, the spatial distribution of CI values is not completely explained by rainfall seasonality, which highlights the influence of different weather systems over the AB. The results of rainfall concentration indicate that the distribution of daily rainfall is more regular over northwest (northern Peru) and central Andes. Conversely, Roraima region and a large area of Bolivian Amazon register the highest irregularity in the daily rainfall. Bolivian Amazon also represents regions where the large percentage of total rainfall arises from extreme events (>90th percentile). Heavy rainfall episodes over Roraima region are induced by humidity influx come from Caribbean region, while heavy rainfall events over Bolivian Amazon and Andes region are induced by the northwards propagation of cold and dry air along both sides of Andes Mountains, but only propagate in all tropospheric levels for the Andes. The results also show that PERSIANN and TMPA7 data sets better estimates the daily precipitation concentration for whole AB, but with a relative error 8%. CI estimated from satellites does not agree well with HOP over the Andes and northern Peruvian Amazon. On the other hand, the temporal variability of CI can partly be detected using CMORPH and TMPAV7 data sets over the Peruvian Andes, and central and southern Brazil. Errors in CI estimating might be related to inaccurate estimation of daily rainfall. Finally, we conclude that satellite‐based precipitation data sets are useful for analysing rainfall concentration in some regions of AB.Item Restricted Climate variability and extreme drought in the upper Solimões River (western Amazon Basin): understanding the exceptional 2010 drought(American Geophysical Union (AGU), 2011-07) Espinoza, Jhan Carlo; Ronchail, Josyane; Guyot, Jean Loup; Junquas, Clémentine; Vauchel, Philippe; Lavado, Waldo; Drapeau, Guillaume; Pombosa, RodrigoThis work provides an initial overview of climate features and their related hydrological impacts during the recent extreme droughts (1995, 1998, 2005 and 2010) in the upper Solimões River (western Amazon), using comprehensive in situ discharge and rainfall datasets. The droughts are generally associated with positive SST anomalies in the tropical North Atlantic and weak trade winds and water vapor transport toward the upper Solimões, which, in association with increased subsidence over central and southern Amazon, explain the lack of rainfall and very low discharge values. But in 1998, toward the end of the 1997–98 El Niño event, the drought is more likely related to an anomalous divergence of water vapor in the western Amazon that is characteristic of a warm event in the Pacific. During the austral spring and winter of 2010, the most severe drought since the seventies has been registered in the upper Solimões. Its intensity and its length, when compared to the 2005 drought, can be explained by the addition of an El Niño in austral summer and a very warm episode in the Atlantic in boreal spring and summer. As in 2005, the lack of water in 2010 was more important in the southern tropical tributaries of the upper Solimões than in the northern ones.Item Open Access Concentración de lluvia diaria y su asociación con eventos hidroclimáticos extremos en la cuenca amazónica(Instituto Geofísico del Perú, 2020-02) Zubieta Barragán, Ricardo; Saavedra Huanca, Miguel; Espinoza, Jhan Carlo; Ronchail, Josyane; Sulca Jota, Juan Carlos; Drapeau, Guillaume; Martin-Vide, JavierEl análisis de datos anuales, estacionales o mensuales de precipitación puede conducir a una interpretación limitada de la distribución espacial y temporal de la lluvia diaria debido a que grandes porcentajes del total anual pueden ocurrir en pocos días. Esta alta concentración de lluvia diaria puede causar erosión de suelos, deslizamientos o inundaciones. La concentración de lluvia diaria para toda la cuenca amazónica (CA) es caracterizada empleando un “Índice de Concentración”, el cual es estimado a partir de un producto grillado de precipitación observada para el periodo 1980-2009. Nuestros hallazgos proveen nueva información acerca de la distribución espacial de la lluvia diaria sobre la CA. Los resultados indican que la concentración de lluvia diaria es relativamente baja en Colombia, Ecuador, norte de Perú y los Andes sobre los 1500 m s. n. m., no obstante, es muy alta en regiones del estado de Roraima en el norte de Brasil y la Amazonía boliviana. Esto explica el por qué algunas regiones de Brasil y Bolivia son más frecuentemente afectadas por eventos de lluvia extrema que conllevan a inundaciones. Asimismo, a pesar de la baja concentración de lluvia estimada en los Andes, ello puede contribuir a incrementar la erosión de suelos o deslizamientos, debido a la interrelación con factores como la heterogeneidad de la lluvia, geología, orografía y vegetación andina.Item Open Access Discharge simulation in the sub-basins of the Amazon using ORCHIDEE forced by new datasets(European Geosciences Union (EGU), 2012-03-22) Guimberteau, Matthieu; Drapeau, Guillaume; Ronchail, Josyane; Sultan, Benjamin; Polcher, Jan; Martinez, Jean-Michel; Prigent, Catherine; Guyot, Jean-Loup; Cochonneau, Gérard; Espinoza, Jhan Carlo; Filizola, N.; Fraizy, P.; Lavado, W.; De Oliveira, E.; Pombosa, R.; Noriega, L.; Vauchel, P.The aim of this study is to evaluate the ability of the ORCHIDEE land surface model to simulate streamflows over each sub-basin of the Amazon River basin. For this purpose, simulations are performed with a routing module including the influence of floodplains and swamps on river discharge and validated against on-site hydrological measurements collected within the HYBAM observatory over the 1980–2000 period. When forced by the NCC global meteorological dataset, the initial version of ORCHIDEE shows discrepancies with ORE HYBAM measurements with underestimation by 15 % of the annual mean streamflow at Obidos hydrological station. Consequently, several improvements are incrementally added to the initial simulation in order to reduce those discrepancies. First, values of NCC precipitation are substituted by ORE HYBAM daily in-situ rainfall observations from the meteorological services of Amazonian countries, interpolated over the basin. It highly improves the simulated streamflow over the northern and western parts of the basin, whereas streamflow over southern regions becomes overestimated, probably due to the extension of rainy spots that may be exaggerated by our interpolation method, or to an underestimation of simulated evapotranspiration when compared to flux tower measurements. Second, the initial map of maximal fractions of floodplains and swamps which largely underestimates floodplains areas over the main stem of the Amazon River and over the region of Llanos de Moxos in Bolivia, is substituted by a new one with a better agreement with different estimates over the basin. Simulated monthly water height is consequently better represented in ORCHIDEE when compared to Topex/Poseidon measurements over the main stem of the Amazon. Finally, a calibration of the time constant of the floodplain reservoir is performed to adjust the mean simulated seasonal peak flow at Obidos in agreement with the observations.Item Open Access Evolution of wet‐day and dry‐day frequency in the western Amazon basin: relationship with atmospheric circulation and impacts on vegetation(American Geophysical Union (AGU), 2016-11) Espinoza, Jhan Carlo; Segura Cajachagua, Hans Mikhail; Ronchail, Josyane; Drapeau, Guillaume; Gutierrez Cori, OmarThis paper documents the spatiotemporal evolution of wet‐day and dry‐day frequency (WDF and DDF) in the western Amazon, its relationships with oceanic and atmospheric variability and possible impact on vegetation. WDF and DDF changed significantly during the 1980–2009 period (p < 0.05). An increase in WDF is observed after 1995 over the northern part of the western Amazon (Marañón basin). The average annual value of WDF changed from 22 days/yr before 1995 to 34 days after that date (+55% after 1995). In contrast, DDF increased significantly over the central and southern part of this region (Ucayali basin) after 1986. Average annual DDF was 16.2 days before 1986 and 23.8 days afterward (+47% after 1986). Interannual variability in WDF appears to be modulated by changes in Pacific SST and the Walker cell during the November–March season. This mechanism enhances convective activity over the northern part of the western Amazon. The increase in DDF is related to warming of the North Tropical Atlantic SST, which produces changes in the Hadley cell and subsidence over the central and the southern western Amazon. More intense seasonal hydrological extremes in the western Amazon therefore appear to be related to changes in WDF and DDF that occurred in 1995 and 1986, respectively. During the 2001–2009 period, an index of vegetation condition (NDVI) appears negatively correlated with DDF (r = −0.95; p < 0.0001). This suggests that vegetation in the western Amazon is mainly water limited, rather than light limited and indicates that the vegetation is highly sensitive to concentration of rainfall.Item Open Access From drought to flooding: understanding the abrupt 2010-11 hydrological annual cycle in the Amazonas River and tributaries(IOP Publishing, 2012-04-19) Espinoza, Jhan Carlo; Ronchail, Josyane; Guyot, Jean-Loup; Junquas, Clémentine; Drapeau, Guillaume; Martínez, Jean-Michel; Santini, William; Vauchel, Philippe; Lavado, Waldo; Ordoñez, Julio; Espinoza Villar, Raúl ArnaldoIn this work we document and analyze the hydrological annual cycles characterized by a rapid transition between low and high flows in the Amazonas River (Peruvian Amazon) and we show how these events, which may impact vulnerable riverside residents, are related to regional climate variability. Our analysis is based on comprehensive discharge, rainfall and average suspended sediment data sets. Particular attention is paid to the 2010–11 hydrological year, when an unprecedented abrupt transition from the extreme September 2010 drought (8300 m³ s⁻¹) to one of the four highest discharges in April 2011 (49 500 m³ s⁻¹) was recorded at Tamshiyacu (Amazonas River). This unusual transition is also observed in average suspended sediments. Years with a rapid increase in discharge are characterized by negative sea surface temperature anomalies in the central equatorial Pacific during austral summer, corresponding to a La Niña-like mode. It originates a geopotential height wave train over the subtropical South Pacific and southeastern South America, with a negative anomaly along the southern Amazon and the southeastern South Atlantic convergence zone region. As a consequence, the monsoon flux is retained over the Amazon and a strong convergence of humidity occurs in the Peruvian Amazon basin, favoring high rainfall and discharge. These features are also reported during the 2010–11 austral summer, when an intense La Niña event characterized the equatorial Pacific.Item Open Access Hydrologie et production agricole dans le nord-ouest de l'Amazonie(Bulletin de l’association de géographes français, 2016-09) Ronchail, Josyane; Schor, Tatiana; Espinoza, Jhan Carlo; Sabot, Manon; Pinheiro, Heitor; Filizola, Naziano; Gomez, Percy; Drapeau, Guillaume; Michot, Véronique; Guyot, Jean-Loups; Martinez, Jean-Michel; Sultan, BenjamínEn « Amazonie des rivières », la période de basses eaux permet la mise en culture de vastes zones exondées et fertiles sur les berges des rivières et dans les plaines d'inondation. La variabilité des extrêmes hydrologiques et celle de la structure du cycle de décrue, facteurs réputés importants pour la qualité des récoltes sont explorés à la station fluviométrique de Tamshiyacu sur le fleuve Amazonas. Le riz, culture rentable dans cette région, est notre référence. Les résultats ne présentent pas les liens supposés entre résultats agricoles et durée de la saison de basses eaux ou vitesse de remontée des eaux. Néanmoins, ils montrent la baisse des étiages, l'allongement de la durée de décrue en relation avec un retard de la montée des eaux et une accélération de la remontée des faux pendant la période 1985-2015.Item Restricted The flood recession period in western Amazonia and its variability during the 1985–2015 period(Elsevier, 2018-02) Ronchail, Josyane; Espinoza, Jhan Carlo; Drapeau, Guillaume; Sabot, Manon; Cochonneau, Gérard; Schor, TatianaStudy region The upper Amazon River, where the water level measured at the Tamshiyacu station (Peru) shows seasonal variability of seven meters. Study focus Key parameters for the flood recession period (beginning, end and duration of the low-water period, velocity of water falling and rising, and inversions in the direction of stage change known as “repiquete” events) are analyzed for the period 1985–2015, along with their relationship to rainfall integrated in the upper Amazon basin at Tamshiyacu. New hydrological insights the low-water period lasts about four months, beginning, on average, at the end of July and ending in early November. Since the late 1990s, the low-water period has tended to end later, last longer and the flood recession ends more abruptly than it used to. This may be related to the increased frequency of dry days during the austral winter in the central and southern part of the basin and to increased and more intense rainfall in late spring (November–December). Repiquete events are frequent, 8 each year on average, and sometimes very acute: 18 events with a water-level reversal greater than one meter were registered during the 1985–2015 period. They are related to unusual, intense and extended rainfall during the week preceding the repiquete. Extensions of this preliminary work are suggested, as well as possible implications for recessional agriculture.